By: Alex Smart     Date: Dec 21, 2018
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Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
Sunday, December 23, 2018 1:00 PM
Play: Point Spread: 10.0/-119 Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland is up trending but now they're suddenly a favourite of more than TD against a long time division rival. In my humble opinion, Im betting we have a over reaction to their recent 4-1 SU/ATS run. It is definitely some tasty bait for a willing public to bite and bet into. At the time of this analysis, a great deal of square dollars and tickets were backing them this week according to data. Im not saying the sharp money is always right, but more often than not, that's the case , and in this situation I have no problem fading the public. It must be noted that the last time the Browns were more than 7 point fav was back in the 2010 and that game they barely got by the Panthers by 1 point. Hey , I know the Browns are looking good behind emerging star QB Baker Mayfield, and I also know the Bengals have struggled for most of this season, however, this is a rivalry game and Im betting the Bengals with momentum off a lopsided win last week, won't be giving the Browns a free pass here, and will primed to compete in a revenge scenario for a loss they suffered to them earlier this season, which snapped a 7-0 SU/ATS run in this series. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (CLEVELAND) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 4-23 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover

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